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2026 MISO Capacity Auction Brings Relief After 2025’s Record Prices

MISO’s 2026-2027 capacity auction results are in, and businesses can breathe a little bit easier. Learn more about how 5.6 Gigawatts (GW) of new solar, battery storage, and gas additions are providing relief in capacity costs across all MISO zones.

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July 10, 2026 Tim Trus 2 Minutes

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Key Takeaways

The Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISOis the grid operator that manages electricity across 15 states and the Canadian province of Manitoba. Each year, MISO holds a capacity auction to secure enough electricity supply to meet demand forecasts for the upcoming year. The 2026-2027 MISO capacity auction results show summer capacity prices dropping significantly compared to 2025’s record highs. New solar, gas, and battery storage additions outpaced demand growth, providing pricing relief for the current planning year.  

  • Summer 2026 capacity prices cleared between $384.10 and $424.30/MW-day, a 36-42% decrease from 2025.

  • Fall and spring capacity prices also dropped significantly for the 2026-2027 planning year.

  • Winter MISO capacity prices rose by about 8% to $35.97/MW-day.

  • MISO’s peak load is projected to grow 35% by 2035, driven largely by data center development.

  • MISO must make sure new capacity additions keep pace with rapidly increasing electricity demand.

What Are the 2026-2027 MISO Capacity Auction Results? 

Just one year after MISO’s capacity auction sent summer prices to a record high of $666.50/MW-day, the 2026-2027 results tell a very different story. This year’s summer capacity prices fell to $384.10-424.30/MW-day, depending on the region. The decline in MISO capacity prices comes as new solar, gas, and storage additions outpaced demand growth, easing the tight supply conditions that caused 2025’s price hike. MISO also confirmed that resource adequacy was met across all seasons and zones for the upcoming year.

MISO Summer Capacity Prices Drop Dramatically

Summer 2026 capacity prices are a steep drop from 2025’s record high of $666.50/MW-day, clearing between $384.10 and $424.30/MW-day, depending on the region. That’s a 36-42% drop in summer capacity costs. New capacity additions across the MISO grid helped improve supply conditions. Even fall and spring capacity prices dropped for the 2026-2027 planning year. 

MISO Winter Capacity Prices Increase Slightly

Winter 2026 capacity prices rose by about 8%, clearing at $35.97/MW-day. Unlike summer, fall, and spring, winter is the exception to this year’s pricing relief. MISO raised its winter reserve margin requirement to 18.9% for 2026-2027 to account for extreme cold weather risks. A higher winter reserve margin helps make sure the grid remains reliable during extreme winter storm conditions. 

Table showing 2026 MISO Capacity Auction Results by Season

Why Did MISO Capacity Prices Decrease?

This year’s lower capacity prices didn’t happen by chance. From new generation additions to ongoing market reforms, several factors contributed to the MISO pricing dip. 

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New Generation Outpaced Demand Growth

Capacity offered in this year’s auction grew by about 4.8 GW, reaching 142.6 GW for summer 2026. That growth outpaced the roughly 2.5 GW increase in peak demand, giving MISO more breathing room than it’s had in recent years.  

Solar Power Led New Capacity Additions

Solar was the largest contributor of this year’s new capacity, increasing by 59% from 7.6 GW in 2025 to 12.2 GW in 2026. Battery storage and natural gas also grew, providing a more diverse mix of low-to-no-emission sources to draw from. 

Reliability Pricing Curve Shows Progress

This is the second year of MISO’s Reliability-Based Demand Curve (RBDC), the new pricing model that ties capacity prices to grid reliability targets. This year’s auction cleared 3.5 percentage points above MISO’s summer reserve margin target, keeping prices manageable. 

How the Latest MISO Capacity News Will Impact Your Business 

While lower capacity prices are good news, they’re only one component of your commercial energy bill. Everything from supply costs and transmission fees to delivery charges and market conditions all play a role in your total energy costs. Businesses currently on default utility rates will likely feel this year’s relief more directly, since those rates adjust with market conditions. Businesses currently enrolled in a fixed-rate energy plan are shielded from changes in capacity costs until their contract renewal window

While Capacity Prices Are Lower, Reliability Concerns Remain

While the 2026-2027 MISO capacity auction results show promising progress, underlying grid reliability concerns remainTo maintain a reliable and affordable grid, MISO must account for power plant retirements and explosive electricity demand from data centers while ensuring there’s enough reserve capacity to respond to extreme weather conditions. 

Data Center Growth Increases Demand

MISO predicts its peak load will grow 35% by 2035, driven primarily by data center development across the grid. With 8-14 GW of data centers coming online in 2026 and 2027 alone, MISO will need to accelerate new capacity additions in its central region to keep up. 

Power Plant Retirements Continue

Across all MISO zones, 25 GW of coal-fired electricity generation is scheduled to retire in the next five years. MISO expects roughly 10 GW of solar to come online before 2030 and continues reviewing additional replacement requests for natural gas and battery storage projects.

Extreme Weather Still Poses Risk

Spanning from the Canadian border to the Gulf Coast, MISO must maintain grid reliability during both extreme Midwest winters and Southern hurricane season. To account for this risk, MISO raised its winter and spring reserve margin requirements to 18.9% and 23.4% for the 2026-2027 planning year.

How Does the MISO Capacity Market Work? 

MISO capacity auctions take place each April to determine seasonal capacity prices for the upcoming planning year, June through May. First, MISO forecasts peak seasonal electricity demand and sets a reserve margin for extra grid reliability. Generators and demand response providers then register their available capacity, while utilities bid to cover any of their shortfalls. MISO then runs a competitive auction in each zone to match supply with its demand forecast. The results set each zone’s seasonal capacity costs for the coming year. If a MISO capacity zone has a tighter supply, it will typically clear at higher prices. 

How to Protect Your Business from Capacity Price Swings

While you can’t control the market, you can still take control of your business’s energy costs. The right business energy strategy provides long-term savings and stability no matter how the market shifts. Below are a few proven strategies to protect your business’s budget. 

Improve Operational Energy Efficiency

Participate in Demand Response Programs

Invest in an Energy Management System

Consider On-Site Solar Panels and Storage

Build a Long-Term Business Energy Strategy

Frequently Asked Questions About MISO Capacity Prices

Can MISO capacity prices change during the year?

Each year, the MISO Planning Resource Auction in April determines capacity prices for the entire year. New MISO capacity prices take effect on June 1 and last until the next capacity auction. Each season clears its own capacity price based on that season’s supply and demand, so MISO power prices can shift every three months. 

How do extreme weather events affect MISO capacity markets? 

Extreme weather conditions can cause a surge in electricity demand that goes beyond what the auction originally forecasted, putting additional strain on the grid. While auction prices are set in advance, weather conditions can still influence supply and demand in real-time. MISO has been raising winter and spring reserve margin targets to account for severe weather risks across its grid. 

Who pays for MISO capacity costs?

Capacity costs are ultimately built into wholesale energy prices for utilities and retail energy providers. However, those costs eventually show up in business and residential electricity bills through increases in market prices or default utility rates. If capacity prices rise, suppliers often pass those costs on to consumers through rate adjustments. 

Will lower capacity prices reduce my electricity bill?

It’s possible but not guaranteed. Capacity is just one of several important components of your commercial energy bill. While a drop in capacity prices doesn’t guarantee a lower energy bill, businesses with a proactive energy strategy are better positioned to capitalize on capacity market shifts.

Which states are included in the MISO energy market? 

MISO oversees the electric grid across 15 U.S. states and the Canadian province of Manitoba. U.S. MISO capacity zones stretch from Louisiana and Mississippi in the South to Minnesota and the Dakotas in the north.

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About the Author Tim Trus picture

Tim Trus

Published July 10, 2026

Tim Trus is the Vice President of Operations at Integrity Energy, specializing in energy market insights and pricing strategy. With more than a decade of leadership experience, he helps…